WASHINGTON — Senior White House officials, including Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, have privately warned President Donald Trump that the U.S. conflict with Iran could continue through the end of his current term in January 2029, according to reporting by The Wall Street Journal.
The private assessment contrasts with Trump's recent public statements. On September 10, Trump said he expected the conflict to end after the November midterm elections and argued that Iran was under severe pressure.
Advisers See Possibility of a Long Conflict
According to the reported discussions, senior U.S. officials believe Iran could continue resisting American military and economic pressure, including the naval blockade and sanctions. The assessment indicates that there is no clear near-term path to a comprehensive ceasefire or a full restoration of normal commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
The conflict began with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets in late February and has now continued for more than six months. Fighting has included periods of intense military activity, retaliatory strikes and disruptions to shipping.
Recent fighting has centered increasingly on maritime routes. On September 9, Iran said it had attacked 10 ships after the U.S. military sank five Iranian oil tankers following attacks on U.S. naval forces. The escalation sharply reduced shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and pushed oil prices above $100 per barrel.
U.S. Military Deployments Extended
The possibility of a prolonged conflict is also reflected in U.S. military planning. According to The Wall Street Journal, some American military deployments in the Middle East have been extended into 2027, while some air-defense units are expected to remain in the region without a fixed withdrawal date.
The continued deployments indicate that Washington is preparing for the possibility that military operations and regional security requirements will continue beyond the immediate period surrounding the November elections.
Iran Continues to Resist Pressure
Iran has continued to signal that it intends to resist the U.S. campaign despite the economic costs. Reuters reported that the U.S.-led blockade and sanctions have placed significant pressure on Iran's economy, while Iranian officials and analysts have continued to consider ways to maintain resistance.
The conflict has also included renewed attacks involving Iranian forces, U.S. military assets and commercial shipping. The latest escalation has increased concerns that the fighting could remain at a lower but sustained level even if the intensity of major operations declines.
Fighting Expands Around Red Sea
The conflict has also widened beyond the Strait of Hormuz. Iran-aligned Houthi forces in Yemen recently seized the port of Mocha and advanced toward areas near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, another important maritime route. Reuters reported that the development has increased concerns over shipping and Saudi oil exports.
The situation around both Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb has added further pressure to regional energy transportation. Shipping through Hormuz remains significantly below pre-war levels, while attacks and security concerns in the Red Sea are affecting another major route.
Oil Prices Rise Above $100
The continuing disruption has also affected global energy markets. On September 10, Brent crude settled at $107.63 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) reached $102.48, according to Reuters. Both benchmarks moved above $100 as tanker attacks increased concerns about supply disruptions.
Reuters also reported on September 11 that oil prices remained on track for a weekly gain of more than 8% despite falling during the day's trading. The market continues to respond to uncertainty surrounding oil shipments through Hormuz and the Red Sea.
The latest developments leave Washington facing the possibility of a much longer confrontation than the timeline publicly suggested by Trump. While the president continues to expect the conflict to end after the November midterms, private assessments by senior officials indicate that the U.S.-Iran confrontation could potentially continue through the remainder of Trump's term in January 2029.
——— End of Article ———
