KYIV, Ukraine — Ukrainian defense company Fire Point could supply around 31,000 to 32,000 FP-1 and FP-2 strike UAVs to Ukraine’s Defense Forces in 2026, based on the value of its state contracts and estimated unit costs.
The Ukrainian Ministry of Defense has signed contracts with Fire Point LLC (ТОВ “Файєр Поінт”) worth a combined UAH 107.4 billion (about $2.4 billion) for 2025 and 2026. The contracts include UAH 56.743 billion ($1.3 billion) for 2025 and UAH 50.7 billion ($1.1 billion) for 2026.
The figures were provided by the Ministry of Defense in response to a request from the Anti-Corruption Action Center (AntAC) and published by its director, Vitaliy Shabunin.
Fire Point specializes in unmanned systems, long-range strike drones, and cruise and ballistic missiles. Its main UAVs in this category are the FP-1 long-range deep-strike UAV and FP-2 mid-range strike UAV. The company was founded in 2022 and has significantly expanded production of these systems.
The average cost of an FP-1 has been reported at around $55,000. Using that figure, the combined $2.4 billion contract value would correspond to approximately 43,500 UAVs over 2025 and 2026.
Fire Point reportedly delivered products worth UAH 29.3 billion (about $670 million) in 2025. At the estimated $55,000 unit cost, this would represent roughly 12,000 UAVs, leaving an estimated 31,000 to 32,000 units for the 2026 contracts.
However, this is only an estimate. The publicly disclosed contracts do not specify the exact number of individual systems ordered and may include other unmanned systems. They could also cover a limited number of FP-5 Flamingo cruise missiles, which have an estimated cost of around $600,000 each. Their inclusion would reduce the number of UAVs that could be calculated from the total contract value.
Fire Point has reported that its FP-1 and FP-2 production capacity has reached more than 100 units per day during peak periods, with the systems used for long-range strikes.
Shabunin also said Fire Point holds separate contracts for ballistic and anti-ballistic systems, which are not included in the unmanned-systems figures discussed above.
Therefore, the estimated 31,000–32,000 UAVs for 2026 is not an officially confirmed quantity. It is a calculation based on the disclosed contract value, reported 2025 deliveries, and an estimated average UAV cost.
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