Russia Ramping Up Attacks in Donetsk Region

Russian forces increased their attacks in eastern Ukraine on Wednesday, according to both Moscow and Kyiv, as they aim to secure territorial gains before the year end. Despite minimal shifts in the frontlines in 2023, the intensity of the fighting persists, with Avdiivka, an almost encircled industrial town, becoming a major flashpoint.

Last month, Russia launched a renewed effort to capture Avdiivka, and analysts believe Moscow forces have made incremental progress at a significant human cost. Oleksandr Shtupun, a spokesperson for Ukraine army, noted a doubling of enemy artillery fire, intensified ground infantry attacks, and the use of armored vehicles. Improved weather conditions enabled Russia forces to escalate assaults and deploy drones again.

Oleksandr Tarnavsky, the Ukrainian commander for the area, reported a significant increase in Russia activity around Avdiivka. Russian forces conducted nearly 20 airstrikes, launched four missiles, initiated 56 assault waves, and fired over 1,000 artillery rounds.

Avdiivka holds a strategic position in the Russian frontlines of the Donetsk region, with Russian troops surrounding it on almost three sides. Despite the bombardment, Ukraine has successfully defended the town. British intelligence suggests that recent weeks have likely seen some of the highest Russian casualty rates of the war.

Ukraine fortifications on its southern edge, just five kilometers north of Donetsk city, remain intact. Kyiv also maintains control of an eight-kilometer wide strip of land, including a vital supply road from the city to the northwest. Tarnavsky affirmed that Ukrainian forces are "firmly holding the line along the Avdiivka front."

Approximately 50 kilometers north, Russia claimed to have taken control of Khromove, a village on the outskirts of Bakhmut. Both sides reported downing enemy drones and missiles overnight, though these claims remain unverified.

Ukraine anticipates increased attacks on its energy infrastructure, similar to Moscow tactics last winter. Ukrenergo reported an electricity shortage as it worked to reconnect villages to the power grid after recent storms. Ukraine air force claimed to have downed all 21 drones and two of three X-59 guided missiles fired by Russia.

In response to Ukrainian allegations of poisoning, the Kremlin denied involvement in the hospitalization of Marianna Budanova, the wife of Ukraine military intelligence chief. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov dismissed Ukraine accusations, emphasizing their tendency to blame Russia for various incidents.

On the diplomatic front, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken assured NATO of Washington continued support for Ukraine. Doubts have arisen about the West commitment as the war appears to have reached a stalemate.